Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.192381 0.209441 0.227564 0.248288 0.271381 0.296379 0.325561
2026-02-01 0.159764 0.183347 0.210081 0.242808 0.282032 0.327831 0.385794
2026-02-08 0.138521 0.164940 0.196299 0.236627 0.287635 0.350709 0.435714
2026-02-15 0.123979 0.151930 0.186327 0.232337 0.293135 0.371972 0.484022
2026-02-22 0.115841 0.145573 0.183348 0.235684 0.307643 0.405126 0.550774
2026-03-01 0.107389 0.137809 0.177503 0.234163 0.314768 0.428208 0.605370
2026-03-08 0.099670 0.130242 0.171071 0.230897 0.318624 0.446396 0.654180
2026-03-15 0.092261 0.122460 0.163611 0.225306 0.318228 0.457779 0.693192
2026-03-22 0.089467 0.120786 0.164407 0.231475 0.335537 0.497295 0.781812
2026-03-29 0.086434 0.118502 0.164069 0.235771 0.350138 0.533762 0.869866
2026-04-05 0.082621 0.114807 0.161348 0.236099 0.358296 0.560294 0.943724
2026-04-12 0.077484 0.108842 0.154832 0.229940 0.355223 0.567383 0.982571
2026-04-19 0.072293 0.102620 0.147714 0.222565 0.349923 0.570818 1.016513
2026-04-26 0.068234 0.097909 0.142665 0.218220 0.349473 0.582944 1.069625
2026-05-03 0.064294 0.093161 0.137261 0.212868 0.346741 0.590508 1.114417
2026-05-10 0.061034 0.089290 0.133007 0.209112 0.346453 0.602488 1.170123
2026-05-17 0.059444 0.087946 0.132708 0.212054 0.358527 0.639418 1.286148
2026-05-24 0.057105 0.085280 0.130084 0.210718 0.362452 0.660539 1.369657
2026-05-31 0.054639 0.082284 0.126738 0.207849 0.363160 0.675091 1.439926
2026-06-07 0.051963 0.078820 0.122425 0.202934 0.359449 0.679941 1.487090
2026-06-14 0.051336 0.078690 0.123732 0.208357 0.376601 0.731199 1.661056
2026-06-21 0.050446 0.078072 0.124152 0.212131 0.390725 0.777476 1.831391
2026-06-28 0.049024 0.076486 0.122793 0.212418 0.397615 0.808120 1.964860